Tuesday, February 20, 2007

Tylwalk NFL Mock Draft (TM) Ver. 1.0 - Pre-Combine Edition

Commander Weitao says it's time to get going on this, and truthfully, the first mock is my favorite one to do because it's guaranteed to change in a few days! Before I proceed with the picks, I have to say that I'm disappointed about the lack of fun at the top of this draft. Normally, the stage would be set for high comedy, because the guy running the draft for the Lions (Matt Millen) and the guy pulling the strings on the draft for the Raiders (Al Davis) are both borderline insane. But since Calvin Johnson is the best player in this draft, their insane tendencies will accidentally correspond with taking the best available player. And that's no fun. What the Texans did last year, now that was fun.

Without further ado...

1. Oakland - JaMarcus Russell, QB, LSU

Apparently some folks think he's the next Vince Young. Davis wishes. If they do take Johnson, one wonders who they plan on using to throw him the ball. And if you're thinking, "Aaron Brooks throws a pretty good deep ball," I'm already laughing at you.

2. Detroit - Joe Thomas, OT, Wisconsin

Everyone, and I mean everyone has the Lions taking Thomas. But if you're Millen, and you already know you aren't getting fired for incompetence, why start making safe picks now?

3/4. Cleveland - Adrian Peterson, RB, Oklahoma

Peterson has an NFL game as long as he doesn't hurt himself again diving in for touchdowns. The Browns are the first team to kid themselves by thinking they don't need Brady Quinn. Have fun with Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson!

3/4. Tampa Bay - Calvin Johnson, WR, Georgia Tech

I'm guessing Johnson will find Chris Simms a much better passer than Reggie Ball, not that it's anything to brag about. Chucky will be pleased to have another playmaker.

5. Arizona - Gaines Adams, DE, Clemson
6. Washington - Jamaal Anderson, DE Arkansas

No one thinks Adams will fall further than these two teams, who both need d-line help. Michigan DT Alan Branch could sneak in here and mess this up - check back after the Combine.

7. Minnesota - Ted Ginn Jr., WR, Ohio State

Ginn is the first beneficiary of the "Devin Hester Effect," which bumps guys up the draft board thanks to their special teams value. The Vikings seem hellbent on going with Tarvaris Jackson at QB, so Ginn may actually score more returning kicks. And did you know he'd rather play cornerback?

8. Houston - Levi Brown, OT, Penn State

The third team that shpuld really think about Quinn unless he stinks it up at the Combine. Sure, getting Brown will allow David Carr or [insert your favorite backup QB here] to stay upright, but so what? I guess Domanick "I used to be Davis" Williams is the reason they don't think harder about Marshawn Lynch.

9. Miami - Brady Quinn, QB, Notre Dame

I've seen some scouts think that the closest comparison for Quinn already in the NFL is... Joey Harrington! So this is perfect, really. Daunte Culpepper, we hardly knew ye.

10. Atlanta - LaRon Landry, S, LSU

One of the top two needs for the Falcons, the other being someone to break Arthur Blank's man-crush on Michael Vick.

11. San Francisco - Amobi Okoye, DT, Louisville

A lot of people like a wide receiver here; maybe if Dwayne Jarrett runs faster than everyone thinks he will. I'm rolling the dice on Louisville's teenage d-line prodigy.

12. Buffalo - Alan Branch, DT, Michigan

Another tough pick to predict, as I don't think I've seen two people whose opinions I respect agree here. I just think Branch will be too good to pass on if he's still around.

13. St. Louis - Charles Johnson, DE, Georgia

If this doesn't help shore up the pass rush, maybe the Rams can use Steven Jackson as a rush end. That guy's a beast.

14. Carolina - Dwayne Bowe, WR, LSU

Here's a young man whose stock is on the rise, and all it took was some surgery so he could actually, you know, see the ball. Keyshawn is making noises about retiring too.

15. Pittsburgh - Leon Hall, CB, Michigan

This could easily be a DE/OLB instead, but it seems like Pittsburgh's been looking for CB help forever.

16. Green Bay - Marshawn Lynch, RB, Cal

Lynch seems like a younger Ahman Green, which might make Brett Favre decide not to retire again. Sorry Aaron Rodgers.

17. Jacksonville - Jarvis Moss, DE, Florida

Mel Kiper likes Sidney Rice here, possibly to add to the Jags' already impressive collection of "Will they ever pan out?" receivers. I'm guessing they'll go a different direction.

18. Cincinnati - Darrelle Revis, CB, Pitt

Another "Hester Effect" beneficiary, with the added bonus that he actually looks like he might be a good corner. Ah, but does he know how to avoid the police blotter?

19. Tennessee - Robert Meachem, WR, Tennessee

The Titans stay in-state and send Rice and Jarrett further down the board.

20. New York Giants - Reggie Nelson, DB, Florida

The G-Men really could use help in a lot of places, but this pick will fill a need and break the hearts of the Cowboys, who really could use Nelson.

21. Denver - Adam Carriker, DE, Nebraska

There isn't a running back worth taking here, though the death of Darrent Williams could have them considering a corner.

22. Dallas - Brandon Meriweather, S, Miami

Hey, wasn't he involved in some incident last year or something? I can't seem to recall...

23. Kansas City - Sidney Rice, WR, South Carolina

Now here's a team that needs a project wide receiver to join the rich heritage of Sylvester Morris and Snoop Minnis. Make it so!

24. New England - Daymeion Hughes, CB, Cal

It never hurts to have more corners for the inevitable face-off with Peyton Manning and company.

25. New York Jets - Zach Miller, TE, Arizona St.

Watch closely to see if Miller or Miami's Greg Olsen comes out of workouts with more momentum.

26. Philadelphia - Paul Posluszny, LB, Penn St.

Contingent on Paul P. checking out healthy and Philly not getting enthralled with a workout warrior type. I think they still remember Mike Mamula there.

27. New Orleans - Lawrence Timmons, LB, Florida St.

A real need area for America's Team - The Next Generation. They did it with mirrors at LB last season.

28. New England - Anthony Spencer, DE, Purdue

Tom Brady desperately needs non-Florida wideouts to throw to, but the Pats' usually stout front seven also needs help at OLB. Maybe Brady's lovechild will grow up to be a receiver.

29. Baltimore - Ben Grubbs, G, Auburn

Not a sexy pick, but important to try to get Steve McNair through another season in one piece.

30. San Diego - Dwayne Jarrett, WR, USC

Maybe if he goes this low he'll work extra hard to avoid becoming the next Mike Williams.

31. Chicago - Patrick Willis, LB, Ole Miss

Because if you didn't notice, the Bears D was pretty much living off their rep by the time they got to the Super Bowl.

32. Indianapolis - Justin Harrell, DT, Tennessee

Will he get to star in commercials alongside Peyton if he helps stop the run?

7 comments:

vwz said...

Nice work Tylwalk, here are my thoughts...

Based on Matt Millen's track record, how could he not take the best receiver available at No. 2? Mike Martz made Mike Furrey a competent wideout and a very wealthy man; just think what he could do given someone with talent.

I don't think the Vikings will go Ginn at No. 7. They have their speedster wideout with Williamson... They might, however, be attracted to Ginn because of his trascendant knack for celebrating at the right time. I'd imagine Fred Smoot might have a thing or two to teach Ginn about celebrating the right way - on a boat with imported strippers.

I don't think Houston will pass up Quinn if he falls to them. I think they are happy with their offensive tackles they drafted last year, though there are some injury concerns with Charles Spencer. Of course, the Texans haven't exactly drafted according to Hoyle, or common sense.

Terrific pull of random names in Snoop Minnis and Sylvestor Morris. I've always thought they were the same player - which happens a lot with players you don't see often - Nate McMillan & Xavier McDaniel, or Rondell White & Shannon Stewart, etc.

Finally, I really think the Cowboys will address their biggest need and draft a holder. Do you know who's the highest rated holder on the board?

Also, two names I don't see and I'm curious about (being a Notre Dame fan) are Tom Zbikowski and Jeff Samardzija. Where will they go in the draft? FWIW, Zbikowski is one of the few players rated as a 99 in NCAA Football 2007.

The Franchise said...

I think the Vikings are already sour on Williamson since he seems to not be able to catch, which is a pretty important attribute for a wide receiver. Ginn may not be the 2nd best receiver in the draft (I like Bowe and even Meachem) but he's lightning fast and is the player most likely to have a Hester-like effect.

I bow to your Texans knowledge but most of the rumors seem to point to them bringing in a veteran - likely Jake Plummer - to play QB. Don't know why you'd want to do that since the team is more than one player away from doing anything, but hey, what do I know? In any case I don't think they will pick Quinn, even though they may regret it. Like that Bush guy last year...

I'm assuming you were joking about the Irish players, but in case you weren't... Samardzija signed to play baseball with the Cubs and Zbikowski had one more year of eligibility, so he'll be back in South Bend.

Head Dude said...

What round is John Talley projected in?

vwz said...

John Talley is rated a 92 on NCAA 2007 - Duke's highest rated player. I think NFL teams should take heed of the Bears, who signed Duke legend Patrick Mannelly and leaned on him (obviously, they weren't leaning on Rex Grossman) to get to the Super Bowl. It's simple folks, draft a Duke player, get to the Super Bowl.

The Franchise said...

Ah, but what about winning the Super Bowl? Do Duke players help you do that?

ThadisRad said...

Ben Watson played one game for the Patriots in 2004, was then injured, but they did win the Super Bowl that year. I think he learned enough in his one season at Duke to teach the Pats how to win big games.

So yes, draft Duke guys, win Super Bowls.

The Franchise said...

If you want a Duke guy for the 2007 Draft, keep an eye on former Duke tight end Ben Patrick. He's considered to be a top blocking TE plus he did pretty well receiving his senior year. It was against I-AA competition though...