Saturday, January 05, 2008

Movement in New Hampshire?

Not a lot, according to Zogby, but a slight uptick for Obama, and he had the crowd behind him at last night's 3000-person Democratic Party dinner in New Hampshire. Still, it shows that the Granite State is no guarantee...

Democrats – NH Tracking
1-1/4
12–31/1–3
Clinton
32%
32%
Obama
28%
26%
Edwards
20%
20%
Richardson
7%
7%
Kucinich
3%
3%
Biden
2%
2%
Dodd
1%
1%
Undecided
7%
8%

3 comments:

The Dude said...

Not so fast, says Rasmussen. In a poll of 510 likely voters yesterday, shows Barack with a 10 point bump. Those betting against Barack have found their wallets mighty empty.

Head Dude said...

Yeah, I just saw that, and Bob Novak reports that Hillary's people are saying a victory for them will be beating Edwards and knocking him out of the race. But if that happens, conventional wisdom says it helps Obama since he'd be the one "change" candidate left.
An interesting sidenote from Iowa -- analysis showed that if you just look at who Iowans actually voted for (and removed the arcane caucus rules) Obama's win actually would've been closer to 15 points. So that amplifies even more his ability to turn people out at the polls and do better than he was polling.

The Dude said...

Hillary's people are now saying winning is finishing in 2nd place? what happened to the inevitable candidate?